ritzwin
11-12-2013, 05:18 PM
In an effort to win back the favor of the gods, I'm placing a guide I made a long time ago here.
Want to ALWAYS win at the food club? Don't care to do lots of math?
If so- This is the guide for you!
This is not a newbie guide about how to play the food club, nor how to increase your winnings. (maybe increase your winnings modestly...)
This is a guide to always win at the food club, every bet you place- you WILL win using this guide.
It's founded on the 'dutch book' idea- where you can always win if you place the right amount on each participant.
Just follow these steps, you can do this on multiple races (if there's more than 1 that has a positive %):
#1 Go to [Only registered and activated users can see links] , pick out an area that has a positive ratio, for this example, I'll choose this one (+32.7%):
[Only registered and activated users can see links]
#2a Go to [Only registered and activated users can see links] load up the current odds from the tool above into the individual odds column as shown in my example
#2b Change the overall stake (see the end of the guide for this part) for this example we're using an overall stake of 100
#2c click 'show stakes' in the forth row
#2d Hit 'calculate'
[Only registered and activated users can see links]
#3 Ignore all columns except the 'Individual stake' column, this is what we will bet.
In my example we'll bet:
13NP on Stuff-A-Roo
59NP on Scurvy Dan
16NP on Peg Leg
13NP on Orvin
#4 Proof that we will always win: (just do this until you're comfortable that it works ;) )
We've bet a total of 101NP
Look at the possible scenarios:
Stuff-A-Roo wins, we win (13 : ratio) x (bet of 13NP) = 169NP minus original 101 bet = +68NP.
Scurvy Dan wins, we win 2 x 59 = 118 NP minus original 101 bet = +17NP.
Peg Leg wins, we win 10 x 16 = 160 NP minus original 101 bet = +59 NP.
Orvin wins (same math as stuff a roo), = +68NP
Thus, as I said before- YOU WILL WIN REGARDLESS OF THE OUTCOME
Setting the 'overall stake' in part 2b:
Set the stake to something a little over the amount of NP you can bet, the amounts shown that you should bet will always be lower than that.
So in my example, if I could bet only 60 NP per bet on my new account, the overall stake of 100 makes sense, since the max I need to bet is 59NP on Scurvy.
Hope this all made sense, please leave feedback on any math or understanding problems.
Want to ALWAYS win at the food club? Don't care to do lots of math?
If so- This is the guide for you!
This is not a newbie guide about how to play the food club, nor how to increase your winnings. (maybe increase your winnings modestly...)
This is a guide to always win at the food club, every bet you place- you WILL win using this guide.
It's founded on the 'dutch book' idea- where you can always win if you place the right amount on each participant.
Just follow these steps, you can do this on multiple races (if there's more than 1 that has a positive %):
#1 Go to [Only registered and activated users can see links] , pick out an area that has a positive ratio, for this example, I'll choose this one (+32.7%):
[Only registered and activated users can see links]
#2a Go to [Only registered and activated users can see links] load up the current odds from the tool above into the individual odds column as shown in my example
#2b Change the overall stake (see the end of the guide for this part) for this example we're using an overall stake of 100
#2c click 'show stakes' in the forth row
#2d Hit 'calculate'
[Only registered and activated users can see links]
#3 Ignore all columns except the 'Individual stake' column, this is what we will bet.
In my example we'll bet:
13NP on Stuff-A-Roo
59NP on Scurvy Dan
16NP on Peg Leg
13NP on Orvin
#4 Proof that we will always win: (just do this until you're comfortable that it works ;) )
We've bet a total of 101NP
Look at the possible scenarios:
Stuff-A-Roo wins, we win (13 : ratio) x (bet of 13NP) = 169NP minus original 101 bet = +68NP.
Scurvy Dan wins, we win 2 x 59 = 118 NP minus original 101 bet = +17NP.
Peg Leg wins, we win 10 x 16 = 160 NP minus original 101 bet = +59 NP.
Orvin wins (same math as stuff a roo), = +68NP
Thus, as I said before- YOU WILL WIN REGARDLESS OF THE OUTCOME
Setting the 'overall stake' in part 2b:
Set the stake to something a little over the amount of NP you can bet, the amounts shown that you should bet will always be lower than that.
So in my example, if I could bet only 60 NP per bet on my new account, the overall stake of 100 makes sense, since the max I need to bet is 59NP on Scurvy.
Hope this all made sense, please leave feedback on any math or understanding problems.